Enigma Investment Radar – Ekins Guinness

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Enigma Investment Radar – Ekins Guinness

Asset Allocation – our model is less bearish on equities but remains defensively positioned in Sectors: long Materials, Financials and Industrials. US 10 Year Treasuries starting to look attractive

Equities and Bonds are still in a Bear Market. Overweight Healthcare, Financials, Consumer Staples, Materials and Industrials and underweight Growth Sectors. Overweight UK, underweight USA.

Bearish Commodities. Especially Oil and Gas which are showing clear bearish trends. But long Gold which has recovered from steep summer price falls and is now exhibiting bullish price trends

Go short USD. Our FX model is now short USD against all major currencies. The weaker than expected CPI data has burst the dollar bubble which is now weakening from very expensive levels.

Tactical Buy – UK Long Gilts. UK Gilt yields have spiked higher since the mini budget and are now extremely oversold. Our model has therefore reversed its Short position and is now Long UK Gilts.

Equities now in a bear market – remain very cautious

FX: Remain Long USD against all major currencies

Equity allocation now below 50% as momentum / trends turn bearish

Overweight UK Equities – region finally starting to outperform versus World Equities

Reducing exposure to Technology

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